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According to Michael Schmidt, the Yankees and Dodgers came close to swapping catchers on Wednesday, with the Yankees nearly acquiring Russell Martin for Francisco Cervelli. I said the following about Martin a few weeks ago:

Martin’s career has evaporated over the last two seasons, but he would likely represent an upgrade defensively behind the plate over every catcher that the Yankees have, and he still has some pop in his bat. He could take the Cervelli role in the 3-headed Yankee catching monster while allowing Jesus Montero to ease onto the roster slowly. If the Yankees get lucky, he could revert back to his old self and become an extremely valuable trade chip or allow the Yankees to explore trading some of their catching assets.

A deal could not be reached and Martin was subsequently non-tendered. Although I am sure the Yankees will pursue Martin now that he is freely available, he is likely to get offers from clubs willing to make him their everyday catcher. Regardless of whether he actually becomes a Yankee, Brian Cashman’s pursuit of him tells us a few things about the Yankees’ catching situation.

1) Jorge Posada is done as a primary catcher. He mentioned wanting to come to camp to compete for the starting job, but the Yankees’ search for another catcher suggests that if Montero does not win it, the Yankees are not comfortable handing the job to Posada. He will likely be treated as a backup catcher, getting 40 or so starts behind the plate while serving as the primary DH.

2) The 2010 season confirmed for the Yankees what many of us already knew: Cervelli is a backup catcher who should not be starting more than 50 or so games in a season. He is not good enough offensively or defensively to justify more responsibility, and was exposed by too much playing time in 2010. As such, the Yankees tried to acquire a catcher they could use as the starter should Montero prove to be not ready.

Failing to bring in Martin is not a huge deal, as the Yankees should be able to piece something together with their current catching options. But as the pursuit of Martin revealed, the Yankees are not particularly comfortable handing the position to Posada and Cervelli again if Montero ends up needing more minor league seasoning.

May 312010

As most of you know by now, Roy Oswalt, Houston’s reliable right-hander, might be up for grabs as the Astros continue to sputter through another lost season. As a result of their of their terrible losing record, the loyal Oswalt reportedly requested a trade about a week ago in the hopes that he could ultimately join a contendor. However, do not expect the Yankees to enter the bidding for the 32-year old’s services.

Although Oswalt is a dependable workhorse, logging 200-plus innings on a seemingly regular basis, and despite his proven track record as one of the most effective pitchers in the game – he owns a 3.35 career FIP and has posted a 3.20 FIP over 69 innings this year – the Yankees simply do not have any room for him in their rotation. “We have five starters we like,” responded “one Yankees person” to Sports Illustrated’s Jon Heyman last week, when asked about the team’s interest in Oswalt. Perhaps if Phil Hughes were not proving his mettle this season, struggling like he has in the past, the Yankees might have been singing a different tune. That has not been the case, though. In fact, outside of Javier Vazquez, who can certainly turn things around this year (he was on the right rack prior to his latest effort), the team’s starting staff has been very strong. Hence, there is no real need to bring Oswalt on board. Oswalt also has a rather unsightly contract, paying him at least $33M from 2010-2012. I doubt Hal Steinbrenner, the financially prudent son, would like to take on such a commitment.

Inline with the Oswalt case outlined above, I also doubt the Yankees will acquire any brand-name starters this season. Seattle’s Cliff Lee is included in that category, of course, as he could become available later on. According to Joel Sherman, the Yankees will likely pursue him via free agency, instead – just as they did with CC Sabathia – when rotation spots are actually available (Javier Vazquez will depart, Andy Pettitte could retire). As of right now, though, in 2010, the need for starting pitching just isn’t there and, barring a huge injury, it won’t be there.

Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images


I was having a discussion this morning with @NYBD on twitter, and he raised an interesting question that I wanted to pose to you: if the Yankees had known that Phil Hughes would be as good as he has been thus far, would they have made the move for Javier Vazquez? To elaborate, let’s assume that Hughes finishes the year with 14-16 wins and an ERA below 4.00. If you had guaranteed to Brian Cashman that Hughes would turn in that sort of season, would he have felt it necessary to bring in Javier Vazquez and relinquish Arodys Vizcaino? Or would he have allowed Hughes to be the 4th starter and gone with Joba Chamberlain or possibly Alfredo Aceves at #5?

I happen to think that Vazquez would be a Yankee no matter what the Yankees expected out of Hughes. The allure of Vazquez had a lot less to do with his sub-3.00 ERA in the NL last year and a lot more to do with the fact that he is practically a lock for 200 league average innings every year. With Hughes on an innings limit, Andy Pettitte aging, and the two horses at the front of the rotation having thrown a lot of innings last year, Vazquez represented a quality insurance policy against injury. Having 200 guaranteed innings in the rotation is something that takes a lot of pressure off the GM, and the quality level of Phil’s 170 innings does not really impact those considerations.

Conversely, one could argue that Cashman made the move with the playoffs in mind. After being forced to use just 3 starters in last year’s postseason, Brian wanted to assure that he would have 4 solid starters come playoff time. Under this angle of reasoning, Hughes stepping up and becoming a reliable rotation member might have precluded a move for a veteran such as Vazquez. A playoff rotation with Sabathia, Burnett, Pettitte, and an effective Hughes would be more than adequate, and would probably make the Yankees the favorite in any playoff series. If the move was made with the playoffs as the primary consideration, then Hughes’ emergence might have rendered it moot.

I lean towards the belief that the move would have been made regardless of the emergence of Phil Hughes as a strong starter. How about you?

The Yankees should trade Joba Chamberlain.

Yes, I said it. Now, before I am criticized – such a response is understandable – or, at the least, ridiculed for that statement, allow me to explain my perspective. First, from a macro standpoint, good starters are generally more valuable than good relievers. Let’s establish that much, at least. As Dave Allen of FanGraphs notes, “an elite reliever is worth about the same as a just slightly above average starter,” which underscores this notion of good starterdom versus good relieverdom, with good starterdom winning every time. With that said, moving from macro (general) to micro (specific), Joba Chamberlain’s value is intimately tied to his role on the Yankees. As a reliever, even an elite reliever, he is just not as valuable as he would be if he were an above average piece of the team’s starting pitching. Joba has that ability, though – to be an above average starter – and other ballclubs know that. They have seen it.

So, if the young righty is “stuck” in the Bronx bullpen, why not cash in?

Despite the face saving comments made recently by Yankee GM, Brian Cashman, now that Joba will be reinserted into the back-end of the bullpen, I, like Billy Eppler, truly doubt we will see him in the rotation in 2011 or beyond. It appears as though his Yankee career is destined to be that of a setup man, bridging the gap to the impregnable Mariano Rivera (until Rivera retires, at that point, if Joba is still around, the closer job would be his). If that is the case, why not move Joba now, while his value as a starter – his potential in that regard – is still high? Relievers are just not that valuable and can often be replaced. So, trade him for something more important than a reliever (this post can be applied later in the season, when a true need arises). If he were moved, I’m sure that a David Robertson, a Chan Ho Park, a Damaso Marte, or a Mark Melancon could replace his current role on the team.

Photo by Reuters Pictures

Via Bryan Hoch, the Yankees have traded right-handed reliever, Edwar Ramirez, to the Texas Rangers for “cash considerations.” Edwar was recently designated for assignment in order to make room on the roster for Chan Ho Park. The slender 28-year old ends his disappointing New York tenure with a 5.22 ERA (ERA+ of 85) and 1.955 WHIP over 98 1/3 innings pitched (his K/9 of 10.6 was a bright spot).

Here’s Dave Cameron of FanGraphs, offering an “optimistic” outlook for Melky Cabrera‘s 2010 prospects.

He’s been around long enough that its easy to forget that he’s just 25 years old. He gets labeled as a tweener, because he’s not a great defensive CF or a great offensive LF, but guys like this are often better than people realize, and there’s still upside left with Cabrera. He’s a really good contact hitter and strong enough to add to his current gap power levels. He doesn’t even have to add all that much power to turn himself into a legitimate 20-20 threat.

He may not look like a classic corner outfielder, but Cabrera can play, and I think Braves fans will be pleasantly surprised with what he offers. His defense is going to be a solid plus in a corner, and he’s not far from being a quintessential #2 hitter. Given his physical skills and age, don’t be surprised if he locks down an outfield spot in Atlanta for the next several years.

Like Cameron’s take above, CHONE is also high on the Yankees’ former center fielder. Sean Smith’s projection system forecasts Melky to hit .296/.367/.441 this season, a triple slash line well above his .269/.331/.385 career average. CHONE expects Melky’s walk percentage – 8.0% in 2009 – to increase from a season ago, nudging up to 9.3% in 2010, and his power to swell a bit, as well, with his career high ISO of .142 from ’09 raising to .145 this year.

While the gains in walk percentage are possible, I doubt Melky will actually improve upon the power we witnessed in Yankee Stadium last season. His .153 ISO in Yankee Stadium seemed to be a product of the park itself – or an outright anomaly – rather than a development in player performance (his career ISO is .115). Plus, as a farmhand, Melky was rarely thought of as a prospect with much power. As Cameron says, he has upside, but it is limited. Before we begin casting Melky as a potential 20-20 player, I think we have to wait and see how he does in 2010 with Atlanta.

When you think about it, a corner outfielder with a great glove and the ability to hit 20 homers and steal 20 bases is a pretty valuable commodity. However, if such an outcome is Melky’s absolute ceiling, meaning that everything would have to go right in order for it to be reached, including him in a package for Javier Vazquez was really a no-brainer.

Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images

Over the weekend, the Daily News’ Anthony McCarron analyzed the Yankees’ recent acquisition of starter Javier Vazquez. To the right of that text, in a sidebar titled “JAVIER VAZQUEZ, RHP,” McCarron briefly summarized his article, and outlined both “The Positives” and “The Negatives” pertaining to the team’s newly acquired strikeout specialist. One of the negatives — actually, the only negative listed by McCarron — seems flawed, however.

“Why has a guy so talented been on five teams,” asks McCarron, as Vazquez’s geographical fluidity — he has been traded five times over the last seven years — is the lone question mark, according to McCarron, that is tied to the Puerto Rican hurler. Apparently, if we are to cull some sort of significance from Vazquez’s lack of a steady home, then perhaps we are to believe that being traded five times in a seven-year period is indicative of a performative deviancy or personality problem. In some way, he must be defective. “He was a Yankee in 2004,” adds McCarron, “and they did not keep him at a time when they wanted to build around young aces, dealing him for Randy Johnson instead.” Again, the general willingness to trade Vazquez, despite his abundance of talents, must indicate the presence of an underlying (and significant) issue, right? Well, not exactly, as such a simple explanation completely avoids context and history.

With regards to the first trade Vazquez was a part of — from the Expos to the Yankees — in December 2003, daunted by a substantial set of rotational worries after losing David Wells, Andy Pettitte, and Roger Clemens, the Yankees decided to make a move for the 27-year old Vazquez after his most impressive season — 230 2/3 IP, 241 K, 3.31 FIP — with a struggling Montreal franchise. According to Tyler Kepner, at the time, Expos GM Omar Minaya did not want to trade the blossoming right-hander, however, the Expos were owned by the MLB and subsequently had “strict payroll limitations” which forced their hand. Therefore, the trade had little to do with Vazquez and had everything to do with the Yankees’ desires — they needed a pitcher and wanted to answer Boston’s trade for Arizona’s Curt Schilling — and Montreal’s organizational situation. This, then, explains one of the trades Vazquez was a part of (his first of five).

In the second trade Vazquez was involved in, after a disappointing debut with New York, the Yankees, and, specifically, owner George Steinbrenner, decided to deal Vazquez, sending him to the Diamondbacks in return for Randy Johnson, a pitcher that the sometimes irrational Mr. Steinbrenner had long coveted. Many reports note that Brian Cashman, aware of the deal’s long-term implications, never wanted to deal Vazquez for Johnson, but, fresh off of a stunning ALCS collapse to the rival Red Sox, the Boss pushed the deal through despite Cashman’s objections and the Yankees landed the Big Unit before the ink had dried on Vazquez’s extension. In that trade, again, there was nothing really wrong with Vazquez. Sure, his 2004 was a failure, however, the decision to move him was based primarily on an emotional reaction had by a fiery owner. Again, Brian Cashman, like Omar Minaya a year prior, wanted to keep Vazquez, yet both GMs were coerced into a deal. Thus, McCarron’s musings about the Yankees’ decision to include Vazquez in a package for Johnson and his thoughts about whether or not the move was as a red flag are hollow.

After returning to the National League and tossing 215 2/3 innings for Arizona in 2005, at the end of the season, Vazquez was once again traded—this time, to the White Sox. Fortunately for me, there is no long story to recount, nor is there any detailed context connected to the move. Basically, Vazquez requested the trade as he was unhappy living on the west coast. As stated by the man himself in September 2006, “Last year [the trade to Chicago] was my call, and I did that based on my family mostly.” Further demonstrating that Vazquez was traded due to geographical preferences — there was nothing wrong with him that brought on the move — the right-hander signed an extension with the ChiSox prior to the ’08 season and included in the extension was a limited no-trade clause allowing Vazquez to block trades to NL or AL West organizations. So, once again, it appears as though there is no genuine substance to the “he who is traded on multiple occasions, during a particular span of time, is automatically a problematic pitcher” theory.

The only time this theory was allowed any gravitas was in 2008, when the hotheaded Ozzie Guillen, Vazquez’s manager with Chicago, openly criticized the pitcher in September for his lack of aggressiveness and, with that, his lack of success in critical (big) games. After the regular season was over, the comments by Guillen seemed to take their toll — Vazquez’s ERA was ugly, too, which probably made him look bad, although his FIP was under 3.74 — as Vazquez was dealt for the fourth time in six years. He packed his bags and headed to Atlanta to pitch for the Braves, who, according to Jayson Stark, had been interested in the Puerto Rican pitcher for years. Thus far, this is the only instance where Vazquez was traded as a result of his own “doing,” although I wouldn’t put too much stock into the “big game” criticism, for it comes from a man (Guillen) who has had issues with just about everyone in Chicago. Nick Swisher is another example of a guy Guillen didn’t care for, and he seemed to fit in just fine once he landed in the Bronx.

Finally, in Vazquez’s most recent trade, the right-hander was shipped back to New York after one season in Atlanta. Again, though, the trade did not occur because of anything Vazquez did performance-wise and it certainly was not the result of a poor attitude or troublesome clubhouse demeanor. Instead, desperate to sign a bat or two this winter, the Braves decided to unload one of their more expensive starting pitchers and Vazquez was the only player they could actually trade. Prior to dealing Vazquez to the Yankees, for weeks, GM Frank Wren had attempted to find a trading partner for the much older and much more expensive Derek Lowe. However, there was little interest in the former Red Sox as his contract was prohibitive. This, then, forced Wren to deal Vazquez, who he truly would have liked to keep after the righty’s sensational season (interestingly, being forced to trade Vazquez appears to be a common theme in at least four of the five trades). Also, it is important to note the Vazquez was dealt back to the Yankees, a team that once traded him. If the club did not actually like Vazquez after 2004, I doubt they would have reacquired him for 2010.

In the end, the notion McCarron alludes to, that Vazquez might somehow be defective due to his transient history, is lacking in its legitimacy as four of the five trades the veteran was involved in were not brought on by his own performance, personality, or any other individual issue (according to published reports). Instead, as I have outlined above, organizational context was part and parcel to each trade and, in most cases, it appears as though the cited GMs were actually forced to deal Vazquez for one reason or another. Therefore, to think the starter’s trade-centric career path suggests an underlying concern is false. Vazquez, like any pitcher, has some issues — for example, his fly ball rate, which could be a problem in Yankee Stadium — however, his nomadic past is certainly not one of them.

Photo by Kevin Cox/Getty Images

UPDATE: (2:00 PM) (EJ)MLB Trade Rumors has it. The Yankees will acquire Granderson for Ian Kennedy, Austin Jackson, and Phil Coke, pending a medical check. Full reactions later tonight.

UPDATE (12:06 pm) — From both Jon Heyman and Mark Feinsand, we’re hearing that the deal could still occur. Feinsand claims that the Tigers might be “caving on its price for Granderson,” and then states that the Yankees could find themselves in a position where one of their three pitchers rumored in the deal — Ian Kennedy, Michael Dunn, Phil Coke — would be downgraded. He speculates that Dunn would be the likeliest Yankee left out of the package (they would replace him with a lesser player).

11:58 am — In his latest, Buster Olney (ESPN) provides us with a quick update on the rumored three-way trade between the Tigers, Yankees, and the Diamondbacks which would send “Curtis Granderson to the Yanks, along with a prospect or two from the D’Backs. Arizona would obtain Edwin Jackson from the Tigers and Ian Kennedy from the Yankees. The Tigers would obtain Max Scherzer from the D’Backs and Austin Jackson, Phil Coke and Michael Dunn from the Yanks” (h/t to MLBTR). According to Olney, the “only way the threads of this would be picked up would be if one of the teams that disagreed with the proposal does a dramatic turnaround from its stance of Monday.” Based on what we’ve heard, including a tweet today from Jon Heyman (SI), the Yankees were the team that truly rejected the proposal based on the high prospect cost, which led to the current impasse in negotiations.

But, as Joel Sherman (NY Post) noted earlier, the stalled talks are likely just a part of the acquirement process. “It seems pretty clear that [the Yankees] want Granderson,” says Sherman, “and, generally, what the Yankees want they ultimately find a way to get.” He even goes as far as to say that the reports about the trade being dead exist merely to “downplay” the situation. We should learn more about the state of the deal throughout the day, so stay tuned.

Dec 072009

Via Joel Sherman, Brian Bruney has been traded to the Nationals for a PTBNL.

Ah, it’s the end of an era. I’m sure he’ll be missed…

Dec 072009

According to George King (NY Post), a team interested in acquiring reliever Brian Bruney from the Yankees, was told that Bruney would be headed to Atlanta. I’m not really sure why the Braves would be interested in the frustrating righty — actually, two teams are interested in him if this report is correct — but I would be pleased to see Bruney shipped to another club instead of seeing the Yankees pay him anything after arbitration in 2010.

Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

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