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A ongoing discussion that I have been having recently with a number of people on Twitter has regarded “The Wave,” a much derided stadium tradition that purists hate. Every time the wave is done, someone at the Stadium or noticing it at home sends out a frustrated tweet, decrying its existence and ripping those who participate. To be honest, I used to be one of those people, and when I am at the Stadium while the Wave is done, I occasionally tell the people in front of me to stop doing it. However, I have recently had a change of heart on this issue.

The case against the Wave is simple. It is a distraction, as it has thousands of people jumping up while many of us are attempting to focus on the game. Furthermore, it shows a lack of interest in the events taking place on the field, which suggests that those doing the wave might be better served finding another source of entertainment. Finally, as @Larry_Koestler mentioned, it creates a slippery slope issue in that it is hard to draw the line as to what type of entertainment is appropriate at a ball game. If the Wave is alright, how about t-shirt cannons or mascots? As Larry noted, these things tend to cheapen the experience.

What changed my mind was a recent discussion I had with a number of people about John Sterling. While many find him excruciating to listen to, I always note that his voice and antics helped stir my interest in the sport, and I know that he has done so for many others. My nephews are just getting into baseball, and they frequently mimic his home run calls and other assorted expressions. While they are certain to tire of him and his mistake filled broadcast eventually, the fact is that he helps hook the younger or more casual fan. The die-hards may hate his inability to perfectly convey the action, but there is plenty of value in an announcer who helps to build a fan base.

My position on the wave is much the same. Although it may not have any inherent value, it makes the game more fun for casual fans and children. While the ideal situation would be for all fans to take attending a game as seriously as you and I might, that is simply not realistic. I know that when I take my girls to the Stadium for the first time, the odds that they will want to sit through a nine inning game and just watch the field the entire time are slim. When a wave starts, I probably will not do it with them, but I certainly do not plan on telling them to sit down. I’ll explain that there is a time and place for everything, and that it would be inappropriate to do the Wave in the late innings of a close game, or at any point during a playoff game, when all attention should be focused on the field. If the time is right, I have no problem with my kids having some fun that is not centered on the game itself.

By making the experience more entertaining, we make it more likely that these people will attend more games and eventually focus on the contest itself rather than the external stimuli. It may be slightly annoying for the hardcore fan, but I think the positives outweigh the negatives. How about you? Should the Wave be taboo? Or is there a time when it is acceptable?


The ESPN park factors for 2009 were released, and Yankee Stadium actually comes in at .965, 20th in baseball. What does that mean? The legend on the ESPN data page explains:

Park Factor compares the rate of stats at home vs. the rate of stats on the road. A rate higher than 1.000 favors the hitter. Below 1.000 favors the pitcher.

Yankee Stadium, after all of the complaining, turned out to be a slight pitchers park in 2009. Breaking the data down further, the new ballpark in the Bronx was a home run haven, with a home run factor of 1.261, good for first in the majors. If so, how was the overall run scoring environment relatively neutral? Tom Tango clarifies:

In a great article in Hardball Times annual, Greg looks at the batted balls at the new Yankee Stadium and Citi. The interesting finding is that while Yankee Stadium turns long flyballs into HR, it also turns almost-long flyballs into outs. Citi field however turns almost-long flyballs into hits. So, this would be an example of where the HR park factor and the Runs park factor on non-HR are not directly related (either unrelated, or inversely-related).

Basically, non-homer extra base hits are suppressed in the new Stadium, as Yankee Stadium is 29th for doubles (.810) and 30th in MLB for triples (.500). Although plenty of balls are leaving the yard, those that stay in the park are turned into outs with enough frequency to give the advantage to the pitchers. The question becomes, can the Yankees somehow leverage this knowledge into a greater home field advantage by stacking the lineup with lefties, taking aim at the short porch in right, and pitching to keep the ball in the larger parts of the park? The aforementioned Greg posted some of his data at BBTF today, and the results, albeit in a small sample, were fascinating:

Home runs hit to right and right-center field at Yankee Stadium, 2009

Before June 1, 2009:
Games: 23
NYY HR/HR per game: 32 / 1.39
Visitor HR: 20 / 0.87
% HR’s by NYY: 61.5%
NYY Home Record: 14-9 / 0.609

On and after June 1, 2009:
Games: 58
NYY HR/HR per game: 67 / 1.16
Visitor HR: 24 / 0.41
% HR’s by NYY: 73.6%
NYY Home Record: 43-15 / 0.741

2009 Regular Season:
Games: 81
NYY HR/HR per game: 99 / 1.22
Visitor HR: 44 / 0.54
% HR’s by NYY: 69.2%
NYY Home Record: 57-24 / 0.704

The Yankees figured out how to clamp down on their opponents’ deep fly balls to right field, while maintaining their own ability to exploit the short porch. This was most likely a combination of more innings being thrown by better and/or healthier pitchers, and conscious effort to steer fly balls towards the deeper left field.

For anyone interested in the stats, if you run a 2-sample Poisson test on the HR rates for the Yankees and their visitors for these two time periods, you get a p-value of 0.03 for the visitors (indicating a strong likelihood of a change in the visitors’ HR rate to RF/RCF before/after June 1st), and a p-value of 0.40 for the Yankees (indicating no significant change in their HR rate). Or in other words, the visitors stopped hitting HR to RF/RCF, but the Yankees didn’t.

The Yankees learned how to leverage the idiosynchrasies of their park, while (unsurprisingly) their visitors did not (or could not). If they hadn’t, the HR totals there would have been even higher than they were…

I find this revelation fascinating. The suggestion is that the Yankees slowly learned the quirks of the park, and eventually were able to turn that knowledge into results. The Red Sox have been using a similar advantage at Fenway Park for years. Hopefully, the Yankees can begin building a serious home field advantage as well.

Photo Credit: Kathy Willens, AP Photo

From The NYT Bats Blog:

The Yankees announced Sunday that they will open the stadium field level, along with the Great Hall, on Monday afternoon to allow fans to watch the team’s game against the Angels in Anaheim. The decision to open the stadium was made after the Yankees consulted with Ruben Diaz Jr., the Bronx borough president.

“We wanted to provide a place for our fans to come together to cheer for our team even if the game itself is taking place across the country,” Hal Steinbrenner, the team’s managing general partner, said in a news release. “This is a way of saying thank you for their continued support.”

The team said that turnstiles between Gates 4 and 6 will open at 3:30 p.m. for the 4:13 p.m. game. Food and concession stands will be open. NYY Steak and Hard Rock Café will also be open.

This is a nice gesture by the Yankees. I wonder how large a turnout there might be, considering the cold weather. I know that if I was in NY this week, I would likely go, but I am curious to see how many would brave the elements to see a game they could watch from the comforts of their homes.

Sometime this week, Derek Jeter will break Lou Gehrig’s record for all time hits as a Yankee.

When Jeter does so, he will have accomplished the feat at the New Yankee Stadium–and it will be the first historic Yankee moment unrelated to the Stadium itself to occur there.

The selling point of the old Stadium, to many, had less to do with the physical building itself, but more to do with all of the historical (in the baseball world, anyway) events that occurred on it. The knock against the New Stadium, by some, was that it had none of the history, none of the emotion, none of the memory of the old park.

Thing is, new ballparks can’t be built with history already made, like a frozen meal.

History has to be created.

The more history you want, the longer it takes to make.

Right now, the very first of what we hope will be many historical moments is right at the doorstep. Don’t talk to Jeter about it–he’s not one for personal milestones, it’s been well reported–but for someone who is about to become the all time most prolific Yankees hitter, there’s something fitting about the fact that he will achieve his mark in a place where he will be the first to really do something truly historic.

Many will still say that the New Stadium won’t be truly christened until the Yankees win it all, but Jeter’s milestone, and its place should not be ignored.

From RLYW:

According to wOBA, New Yankee Stadium is now boosting offense by only 2%. And interestingly enough, there have been more runs scored per game in Yankee road games (10.45 per game) than Yankee home games (10.34 per game).

I really do not have much to add. While home runs are up in Yankee Stadium, the problem seems to be exacerbated by the fact that the Yankees are a ridiculous home run hitting team. There would be plenty of home runs flying out in most ballparks with this lineup, and the Yankees proliferation of power/strikeout pitchers means opponents are going to run into one fairly often as well. That being said, the new ballpark is limiting doubles and triples, softening the impact of the increased number of home runs. All of this means that the new Stadium is playing like a slight hitter’s park, and that the screaming and lamentation on the part of some fans and the media is overdone.

From Darren Rovell:

Those expecting to hear of a price gouge for Yankees postseason tickets might be surprised.

It’s not coming.

CNBC has seen the final face value prices that the Yankees submitted to Major League Baseball and increases will be much smaller than the jump season ticket holders saw for home games played at the old Yankee Stadium in the 2007 postseason, the last time the Yankees were in the playoffs. In fact, some 2009 postseason seats will cost LESS than this year’s regular season prices.

Wow. The big bad Yankees are not raising ticket prices on most seats for the ALDS, and had to be forced by MLB to have a minimum ticket price of $50 on bleacher seats for the World Series (fingers crossed). I wonder if this story gets as much play nationally as the original Yankees ticket price stories did, or if it becomes a note at the end of a few stories in tomorrow’s dailies and then fades away as if it never happened. For some reason, I am going to go with door number 2.

Michael Salfino of SNY has a piece up reviewing a study done by Alan Nathan from the Department of Physics of the University of Illinois. The study was inspired by the idea that there is something of a wind tunnel in the new Yankee Stadium, which is affecting the number of Home Runs being hit there. He used Pitchfx data and batted ball data plus Greg Rybarczyk’s hittracker data to estimate the trajectory of fly balls and figure out how balls are carrying in all stadiums across Baseball, and to look at where the new Yankee stadium fits in. He explains:

The analysis begins by recognizing that in a vacuum, all balls hit with the same initial velocity and launch angle will travel the same distance. In reality, the ball will travel more or less than that, depending on the influence of the aerodynamic effects of drag and the Magnus force, including any influence of wind. One way to define the “carry” is the ratio of the actual distance to the distance it would have traveled in a vacuum.

Here’s the chart Yankee Fans will be most interested in. “Normalized carry” refers the average way that a ball travels across all of Baseball.

(BTW-Note how far ahead Colorado is as compared with all other cities)

As you can see, the new Yankee Stadium is on the low end in terms of how the ball travels there, and is actually in the bottom fifth. So while it is indisputable that the Yanks are hitting a ton of HRs at the new stadium, and are likely to set a franchise record this year, it doesn’t appear to be due to wind effects.

That leaves us looking at other explanations. We know for a fact that they straightened out the curvature in the Right field wall, making it a few feet shorter between the numbers on the wall. See chart below (from WasWatching):

And here’s the Hit tracker data on where HRs have landed:

As the chart shows, clearly many balls have been HRs in the new ballpark that would have been outs or doubles in the old facility. As is often the case, it appears the simplest solution is the correct one. The Right Field wall is simply shorter than it has been in years past.

After an always exciting, often euphoric weekend, I have so many thoughts jumbling around my head that it has taken a while for me to distill them into some reasonable, conveyable thoughts. There are two in particular that I would like to share about the greatness of baseball.

1) I was at the game last night, and the Stadium was electric from about the 4th inning forward. Once Pettitte got Jason Varitek to fly out with the bases loaded in the fourth, the buzz in the building began to slowly grow, to the point where the fans were just ready to explode each time the Yankees came to bat. When A-Rod homered to lead off the 7th, the ballpark got as loud as the I ever remember the old place across the street getting. When Phil Coke served up a two run bomb in the 8th, some of the euphoria dissipated, but there was still a buzz in the air, as if the fans knew that the game was far from over. Then came the bottom of the 8th, and the moment I realized how amazing this game is.

Daniel Bard mowed down the first two hitters, and despair was starting to spread through the stands as the Yankees looked hopeless. And then, with one swing of the bat, everything changed. Johnny Damon lined one over the wall in right-center, and the place went bonkers. Baseball is a game that toys with your emotions, with large lulls in the action punctuated by amazing crescendos of drama that can rip your heart out and then make you jump for joy minutes later. As the excitement and noise in the stands continued to build, Mark Teixeira took his own powerful swing at the second deck in right, and the Stadium got louder than any sporting event I have ever been to. It was positively amazing, as the crowd was still cheering the Damon home run when they forced to find another gear to recognize what Teixeira had just done. The Stadium remained incredibly loud for the remainder of the game, erupting as Mariano Rivera notched the final out. All I could think of us the sound engulfed me is how great this sport is.

2) My second point is more of a technical issue. From ESPN:

Teixeria evaluated his at-bat against rookie Daniel Bard. After watching Damon homer on a fastball, Teixeria thought to himself that Bard likely wouldn’t want to throw another one right away. Teixeria guessed right: curveball, called strike one.
Teixeria remembered seeing a few curveballs from Bard on Friday night. He surmised the rookie might throw another one. He did, and it was in the exact same location as the first pitch.
“I was kind of looking for it again,” said Teixeira, who was 6-for-17 in the four-game series.
“He timed it as good as you can; he was sitting on it,” Bard added.

A novice fan looks at the sport and sees a guy throwing a ball and another guy trying to hit it. Yet there is so much more there. Look at the incredible intricacy of strategy that went into the dramatic denouement of last night’s game. Teixeira made a strategic decision based on the situation and the pitch that Damon hit. How often does Daniel Bard throw back to back curveballs? I doubt it is very common, yet Teixeira read the situation and tried to get into the head of the enemy, and was rewarded for it. Baseball is a game fraught with strategy on every pitch, as pitchers attempt to set up hitters while the batter attempts to predict the pattern and react properly. There is so much depth there if you know where to look. This hidden intricacy is another thing that makes this game great.

After the first game of this now triumphant series against Boston, Ross from New Stadium Insider penned a guest post for RAB about the acoustics in the new ballpark. He wrote:

At the old Yankee Stadium – and other great home parks such as Fenway – crowd noise builds in anticipation of a big moment. So far in 2009, the new Yankee Stadium has had small bursts of overwhelming crowd noise, but those have typically been in response to a big moment. The wall of sound that engulfs you and makes you feel like you are a part of something truly special conspicuously absent.
We are left wondering whether that wall of sound will ever return. Is the significantly further recessed (and partially covered) upper deck to blame? Are the fans that can afford to attend games at the new Yankee Stadium even more corporate than the fans at the old one? Did the 6,000 – 7,000 extra seats in the old place make a huge difference in terms of crowd noise? We probably need to wait until the new Yankee Stadium hosts a playoff series to draw any reasonable conclusions, but as of now, we’re disappointed.

While I opined at the time that I had not noticed a huge acoustical difference between the two parks and thought the sentiment resulted from the mythologization of the old ballpark, Ross’ feelings about the New Yankee Stadium were shared by many. However, one night later, everything changed. The Yankees and Red Sox played a game for the ages, and as Mike Vaccaro eloquently noted, all the new home of the Yankees needed to prove itself was a game of the proper import and tension:

Look homeward now. Look to The Bronx. Look to the familiar old neighborhood. And cross the street. Yankee Stadium II made its bones last night, proved it can be a fair acoustic heir, and maybe approach the experience the old joint used to specialize in: feeling like you had a stake in things. Feeling like everyone on the field could hear you. Feeling like a 10th man.

And being one. The games that came before didn’t have any of that. This one did. This one lasted until close to 1 in the morning, but when it ended everyone was ready. Everyone was prepared. The best game in the new ballpark, and they screamed as the ball soared, and it sounded sweeter even than Sinatra.

In one night, the new ballpark in the Bronx went from a foreign place where our favorite team happened to play to the Home of the Yankees. If there had been any doubts about the Stadium’s suitability as the site for a big postseason game, it was erased Friday night when Alex Rodriguez sent that ball deep into the summer night. Yankee Stadium is ready for a long October.

Jun 162009

Dave Eiland recently made some comments that suggested that Yankees pitchers are afraid to throw strikes in the New Yankee Stadium. While I have a more extensive study planned for this weekend, I did want to reference what Steve Lombardi wrote on this this afternoon:

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The Librarian: The Curse of the Judas Chalice

I was surprised to see how well the Yankees have done this year, to date, in terms of OPS allowed on the road. New York is pretty close to being second best in the league here. Seeing this, if I were a Yankees pitcher, I think I would be somewhat upset about what the new ballpark in the Bronx is doing to my numbers.

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Although this sounds like the Yankees have pitched well overall and have just been victimized by their park, this is not the case. The Yankees are 12th in the AL in ERA+, a stat that corrects for ballpark factors. They have not pitched well regardless of the ballpark, although I reserve the right to change the mind if the research I am doing shows some further extenuating circumstances. It is also important to note that the Yankees lead the AL in OPS+, which is also corrected for ballpark.

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This being said, I do believe that there is a championship level staff currently within the organization. I have a decent amount of faith in them having three or four very good starters come playoff time, and in the playoffs, you may have Joba and Hughes in the pen with Bruney, Aceves, Coke, and Robertson. That should be plenty.

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