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(Minnesota vs Yankees tropes checklist: 1) Minnesota scores first, check. 2) Yankees come back and score more, check. 3) Yankee bullpen is better than the Twins bullpen, check. 4) Umpires do something stupid, check.)

Since all the important tropes are checked and this is in every way the exact kind of Twins-Yankees game that gets played in the postseason, let’s talk about these things three: Andy Pettitte, Curtis Granderson, Lance Berkman.

Andy Pettitte: Seven innings, five hit, two run ball. Easily his best pitching performance since returning from the DL and a vintage Pettitte postseason start. Not perfect, but filled with double plays, gettings-of-clutch-outs, makings-of-pitches and nerves (and stares) of steel.

Okay, seriously: Pettitte looked fantastic. Any qualms about whether he or Hughes should have started game two seem to have been fully set aside, because now if Minnesota wins games three and four (possible, though, it would seem unlikely), the Yankees can rest assured that their vaunted postseason lefthander is healthy and ready to take the mound game five.

The Hudson home run was a bad pitch, but almost everything else worked flawlessly, especially after the second inning when he escaped a jam giving up just one run.

Curtis Granderson: Look, I know giving hitting coaches lifetime contracts is ill-advised, but in this case I’d be willing to make an exception.

Since his mid-August Long-ian retreat, Granderson has been on fire and shows no signs of abating now. He came up with one of, if not the biggest hits of the game last night, and tonight hit the double that eventually scored the Yankees’ first run.

The only blemish was a bunt that may not have needed to be made in tonight’s game, as he otherwise went three-for-four, and is now batting .500/.500/.875 in the postseason. Yeah, two games is a small sample size and ultimately insignificant, but he has been phenomenal in the first two games.

Lance Berkman: The Big Puma, in his first postseason game in pinstripes, hit a home run that gave the Yankees their first lead tonight and then the RBI double that gave them their second and final lead.

Want to know what’s crazy about how deep the Yankees’ line up is this postseason? Berkman, a formal All-Star, and the offensive hero of tonight’s game, was hitting eighth.

Eighth.

Oh, and while we’re on the theme of Cashman’s 2010 acquisitions striking gold tonight, how utterly dominant was Kerry Wood in the eighth inning?

Yikes!

Now the Yankees head back home, up two-games-to-none, and can potentially clinch a spot in the LCS on Saturday.

Only one team has ever come back from losing the first two LDS games at home to win the series. You may remember–it was the 2001 Yankees that did it.

11 wins to defend that title.

11 wins to once again reach the pinnacle of the baseball world.

One down, 10 to go.

The march to championship #28 continues tonight.

Yankees Lineup

Jeter SS
Granderson CF
Teixeira 1B
Rodriguez 3B
Cano 2B
Swisher RF
Posada C
Berkman DH
Gardner LF

Pettitte P

Twins Lineup

Span CF
Hudson 2B
Mauer C
Young LF
Thome DH
Cuddyer 1B
Kubel RF
Valencia 3B
Hardy SS

Pavano P

I’m sure you have all seen the play by now. In what should have been the final out of last night’s game, Greg Golson was said to have trapped a ball that replay showed he clearly caught. The Yankees argued and the umpires huddled, to no avail. The batter was awarded first base, and Jim Thome was allowed to bat as the tying run. Mariano Rivera got him to pop out to end the threat and make the issue less controversial, but the play was infuriating as it happened and highlighted the stubborn idiocy that marks the official position of Major League Baseball on this issue. If everyone in America but the people who are making the call are aware within 45 seconds that a mistake was made, we have a problem that is not without a solution. We simply have an obstinate commissioner who refuses to see the handwriting on the wall and will not do what is best for the game and its fans.

Ed Price was asking for possible solutions on Twitter, suggesting that he has yet to hear a workable plan to fix this issue. I think adding an umpire in a booth with a video technician would be a simple and effective solution. Being that those of us watching on TV tend to know quite quickly if the “human element” has fouled things up, the video ump should be able to buzz down to the crew chief and have the call overturned rather rapidly. If people really have a problem with the amount of time such a process would take (not much at all), they can make it illegal for a manager to come onto the field to dispute a call. Eliminating such worthless arguments would cut the amount of time expended due to a poor call, and would carve out time to get the call right through video replay. While some calls might be too close to tell and therefore would not be overturned, that is not a problem. The issue is not that the umpires are missing calls, as that is to be expected. The issue is that they are missing easy calls that can be changed quickly by using a bit of technology that is readily available.

What would you do about instant replay?

Oct 072010

Of all the moves that a manager makes throughout a game, the one that I think can be attributed most to ‘feel’ rather than pure statistical data is the decision on when to pull the starter. Often, the pitcher’s stuff will give clues that he is losing effectiveness, and it is up to the manager to gauge whether he can count on the pitcher to get a few more outs without losing effectiveness. It is a difficult decision that is ripe for criticism when it backfires, particularly because managers will often ignore the signals from the pitcher due to the favorable nature of a matchup or the reputation of the pitcher. During last night’s playoff game between the Yankees and Twins, both managers were faced with this difficult decision in the 6th inning.

In the top of the inning, Francisco Liriano struggled for the first time in the game, allowing 2 runs to score and putting runners at 1st and 2nd with 2 outs. The batter was Curtis Granderson, a hitter who traditionally struggles against lefties and has particularly bad numbers against Liriano. However, Liriano looked fairly gassed, and has been a 6 inning and 100 pitch pitcher all season. Additionally, lefty Jose Mijares was ready in the bullpen and could have been used to maintain the platoon advantage against Granderson. Ron Gardenhire decided to go with the previously favorable Liriano v. Granderson matchup, and Liriano’s tiredness cost Minnesota the lead. Granderson tripled to right-center to score two runs, knocking Liriano from the game for the lefty Mijares, who retired Brett Gardner.

In the bottom of the inning, Joe Girardi was faced with a similar choice. CC Sabathia had struggled with his command all game, but had been able to limit the damage to 3 runs over 5 innings. Now armed with a one run lead, he started out the inning by retiring Joe Mauer and then Delmon Young, with Young flying out to the wall in left. CC’s command then abandoned him, and he walked Jim Thome, allowed a double to Michael Cuddyer, and then walked lefty Jason Kubel. With rookie righty Danny Valencia coming to the plate and Dave Robertson ready in the pen, Joe Girardi had a tough decision to make. CC had clearly lost the plate, but Valencia had looked lost in two previous at-bats against CC, both strikeouts. Furthermore, CC did not look particularly tired, nor had he lost any movement or velocity. He simply was exhibiting the lack of command that plagued him all game. Girardi decided to stay with his ace, and just as that choice had burned Gardenhire, it cost Joe’s team the lead. Valencia walked on 4 pitches to force in a run, and JJ Hardy came to the plate to face Sabathia. Again Joe chose to leave CC in, and this move worked out as Hardy struck out on a beautiful 2-2 changeup.

As I said in my introduction, these sort of decisions are quite difficult. Managers tend to get lost in the head-to-head matchups of Liriano v. Granderson and Sabathia v. Valencia and ignore the fact that their pitcher has lost effectiveness and is not the same guy who has retired the batter in the past. On the other hand, I can understand why managers might have more faith in their ace pitcher than a reliever. The ace is a known quantity, as you have some feel for how he is pitching that night. Conversely, you never know if a reliever is going to have an off night until he serves up a fat one and costs you the game. Personally, I believe in a quick hook in the postseason and would have removed both pitchers from the game prior to the discussed at-bats. However, I do not think either manager made a particularly egregious decision is staying with their aces, and would not complain much if Girardi made the same “mistake” again later this postseason.

What would you have done?

The 2009 post-season run by the Yankees was obviously fantastic. They swept the Twins ALDS, beat the Angels 4-2 in the ALCS, and then beat the Phillies 4-2 in the World Series. Somehow, it didn’t hit me until last night while watching Game One of the ALDS versus the Twins (moving to the bottom of the seventh as I type this): each Game Two in the playoffs last year had something special.

ALDS Game Two

We all remember this one. The David Robertson escape act. The A-Rod homer against Nathan to tie the game in the ninth. Mark Teixeira’s walk off homer. This was a perfect back and forth playoff game and the Yankees came out on top.

ALCS Game Two.

Another back and forth game, and another game with David Robertson getting the win, and another big homer from Alex Rodriguez. I’ll never forget that homer–down 0-2, to the opposite field, in the rain. I still don’t know why Brian Fuentes put the ball where he did, but I’m not going to complain. The same sentiment goes for Macier Izturis throwing the ball to second on a Melky Cabrera ground ball when he had no shot, which allowed Jerry Hairston to score the winning run.

World Series Game Two

The previous Game Two’s were big, but the Yankees had the luxury of being up one game to zero in those games. There was no such luxury for Game Two of the World Series. The Yankees had just been dominated by Cliff Lee and were in danger of going to Philadelphia down two games to none. They fell behind after an RBI single from Matt Stairs. Teixeira tied the game with a homer off of Pedro Martinez in the sixth inning and Hideki Matsui gave the bombers the lead in the sixth with a dinger of his own. That’s all A.J. Burnett would need as he was brilliant, tossing 7 innings, allowing just 4 hits and 2 walks while striking out 9.

Tonight, the Yankees will look to their lineup and Andy Pettitte to give them yet another memorable Game Two.

The current Twins have hit relatively well off of Pettitte with a .284 average and a .325 on base percentage, but they haven’t hit for much power against him (.405 SLG, .121 IsoP). Pettitte pitched two games against the Twins this season, winning both times.

Game One

In this game, Andy attacked the Twins with mostly fastballs, mixing his four seamer, two seamer, and cutter well. He threw in the occasional curve and dropped two changeups as well. Andy only had two strikeouts in the game, and did walk three hitters, but he allowed just two hits so it’s clear he was keeping Minnesota off balance.

Game Two

Just 11 days later, Pettitte faced the Twins again, this time in Minnesota. Again, Andy didn’t have the strikeout pitch working with just four strikeouts in eight innings while allowing eight hits, but he didn’t walk a batter. In his second time out, he used his changeup more (ten times as opposed to two) and his cutter less. This makes sense as he was facing the team for the second time in less than two weeks. Andy made adjustments and was able to beat the Twins twice in a short amount of time. He hasn’t faced the Twins since then and he’s had a few days to prepare now. I’m very confident in Andy Pettitte to make even more adjustments to prepare himself to beat the Twins.

(From my blog, with some additions)

Let’s go over the tropes, shall we?

+ Minnesota takes the early lead

–In every ALDS game last season, Minnesota scored first.
—Minnesota scored first today, jumping out to a 3-0 lead, which looked unbreakable as long as Francisco Liriano was on his game. In the first couple innings, Liriano looked downright unhittable. So the Yankees did what the famed Yankee teams of the late 90s and early 00s would do, they waited, working the pitch count until Liriano was over 100 pitches in the sixth inning, and then took advantage of his tired arm.

You can see the WPA graph and fancy stuff at the link.

+ Yankee bullpen comes up big, Minnesota’s does not.

–Game two of last year’s ALDS comes to mind, the eleven inning affair the Yankees eventually won after heroics from David Robertson and other bullpen members. Tonight, after a mediocre kept-them-in-the-game-for-six performance from Sabathia, Boone Logan, David Robertson, Kerry Wood and Mariano Rivera combined to keep the Twins scoreless in a two run game. On the flip side, Jesse Crain surrendered a two run home run to Mark Teixeira that proved to be the difference–last year, in game two, Joe Nathan first allowed Alex Rodriguez to tie the game in the ninth inning, and then Jose Mijares served up Teixeira’s down-the-line game winner.

+ The Yankee offense is the Yankee offense.

–Every Yankee starter except Gardner and Thames had a hit tonight, and those two reached via a walk each. The Yankees didn’t score till the sixth inning, but when they broke through, the crowd at Target Field went so quiet that when Granderson tripled and Teixeira homered you could have been excused if you had thought those clutch hits were instead outs. The Twins have legitimate hitters that can compete with anyone, a franchise player in Mauer and future Hall of Famer in Thome, but the Yankees led the Majors in runs scored this season, and showed why tonight.

+ Umpiring controversy

–Last year it was a foul ball that was fair, this year a fly ball caught on a shoe-string grab by Greg Golson that was ruled a trap instead of a catch. Had it been correctly called a catch it would have ended the game; since it was a trap it meant that Mariano Rivera, who’d already thrown twenty pitches for the four out save attempt, had to now pitch to Jim Thome with a runner on first.

Fortunately, for Yankee fans, Thome popped up on the first pitch and a crisis was averted…

Still, as technology gets better and we are more and more able to see which calls are accurate and which or not, baseball cannot forever put off instant replay. It’s one thing when a botched call costs a pitcher a no-hitter, as we saw this season, but it would be quite another if a botched call directly cost a team a game, which it could have tonight, had Rivera made a bad pitch to Thome.

No team should have to worry that their postseason fortunes may be decided on by a bad call; teams work too hard for too long over the course of a season for it to have to come to that.

+ Minnesota can’t win in Minnesota.

–The Twins are now 0-6 vs the Yankees in the postseason at Minnesota. Their home field advantage is now moot, as they must win two games in New York if they want a chance to win the series at home. Otherwise, they’d have to win each of the next three games, which is certainly possible, but not likely.

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