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Pete Caldera of the Bergen Record caught up with Brett Gardner after yesterday’s game against the Twins at Hammond Field – a game in which Gardner bunted for a single and subsequently outran a pickle between first and second (he got back to first safely) – and, naturally, the conversation the turned to Gardner’s productive base running.

“I don’t like getting out when I’m hitting, but… stealing bases, I take a lot of pride in,” said Gardner. “You don’t want to just go out there and run. You’ve got to know who’s on the mound, know who’s at the plate and try to pick your spots.” While Gardner was referring solely to his love of the stolen base in that comment to Caldera, in general, he was just an effective base runner while on base last year, advancing when he had to on balls on the ground, in the air, past the catcher, etc. Though I have discussed his stellar speed score in the past, another number, Gardner’s EqBRR – a value that measures a player’s base running contributions in runs – is certainly worth noting. Gardner’s EqBRR in 2009 was 4.9, the eleventh best mark in all of baseball. That’s basically half a win (10 runs equal a win). Mind you, Gardner accomplished this feat with very limited playing time, therefore, I expect him to better his EqBRR this season.

Photo by Getty Images

From Ben Shpigel:

By the end of Vazquez’s two-inning outing, it was practically forgotten because of another pitch – a changeup that Chase Utley flailed at for Strike 3. That pitch is what Manager Joe Girardi will take away from Vazquez’s debut, a game the Yankees won, 7-5.

“That was as good a changeup as I’ve seen all spring,” Girardi said, adding, “It’s early for the hitters, too, but it was an outstanding changeup.”

Vazquez has thrown a curveball and a changeup for many years, but he returns to the Yankees armed with a slider. All three pitches are vital to Vazquez’s success now that he no longer relies on his fastball. “I’ve been a little stubborn in the past,” said Vazquez, who added that he still has a lot of confidence in his fastball.

This touches upon the change in Javy’s style that we discussed a few days ago:

The percentage of pitches that Vazquez throws as fastballs has been trending downward for his entire career, and dipped below 50% for the first time in 2009. Being that his fastball got knocked around in his one season in NY (wFB/C, which is fastball runs above average per 100 FB, of -.84), this is a positive development. Vazquez did throw plenty of changeups in 2004, but Jorge is right in suggesting that the pitch improved in 2009, as Javy posted his best wCH/C of his career. Finally, as Jorge noted, Vazquez has added an effective slider, a pitch he barely used in New York and now uses as his primary breaking pitch.

Some Yankees fans have suggested that Vazquez is simply not cut out for New York, and point to his rough second half in 2004 as evidence. However, it has become clear that Javy is not the same pitcher that he was then, as he attacks hitters in an entirely different manner than he used to. While he used to work almost exclusively with his fastball and changeup, he now frequently mixes in the slider and the curve. He is a more complete pitcher, and that should bode well for him as he ages. Hopefully, his first spring outing is a sign of things to come.


From Bruce Jenkins, via BBTF:

To me, Sheets’ most telling comment Friday concerned his willingness to pitch through the 2008 stretch drive despite knowing that his arm, as they say, was falling off.

Asked if he thought the Brewers would have handled him differently in retrospect, he said, “They couldn’t have handled me differently. I was on the bump (mound) – I wasn’t taking myself out of there. If I could go back, I wouldn’t change a thing. I’d go out there and be willing to blow my arm out again.”

This is something too few people understand. Every time a pitcher gets hurt – at least in modern times, in the paranoia over pitch counts – it’s the manager’s fault. The pitching coach’s fault. Has to be somebody’s fault. Dusty Baker, as sensitive to a player’s plight as any manager in the game, still hears from horribly unenlightened critics who believe he carelessly blew out arms on the Giants, Cubs and now the Reds.

It’s competition, folks. It’s a strong-willed athlete who would do anything to take the mound. It’s a manager with faith, and the good sense to ride the hot hand. It’s Robb Nen, Kerry Wood, Ben Sheets. The injuries come, or maybe they don’t, but the operative phrase is “Let’s go,” not “Jeez, I’m pretty worried.”

No, No, No, No, a thousand times no. Jenkins suggests that Baker was correct in having Mark Prior and Kerry Wood throw all those pitches in 2003 simply because they were competitors who wanted to so. All pitchers want to pitch and believe that they can get the next guy out. If managers simply said “Let’s go” in every situation, you would have hurlers getting injured with regularity. The organization hires the manager to manage the club’s assets, and part of that job is to know when it would be best for the long term success of the club to pull your best option at the moment from the game. Yet managers frequently ignore that responsibility in order to save their own skins, understanding that they may not be around much longer if they lose games with their best arms on the bench.

A balance needs to be found, where the manager is maximizing the value that he can extract from the pitcher without putting the pitcher at risk for negative long term repercussions. Managers such as Baker have shown an inability to consider the long-term health of the organization by throwing caution to the wind and only considering the immediate consequences of a decision. That is a failure by the manager, as well as a poor job by the organization in allowing the field general to continually put his players at risk. Joe Torre had a problem of that sort in regard to relievers, where he would recklessly “ride the hot hand” until the player got injured or became tired and ineffective. Thankfully, it seems that Joe Girardi has no such problem, and is on the same page with Brian Cashman and the rest of the organization in terms of effectively managing pitchers.

What do you think? Is Jenkins right? Should pitchers just be allowed to pitch?

Here’s an interesting item on Kei Igawa from the NY Times‘ Joe LaPointe:

Despite having two seasons left on a five-year, $20 million contract and despite retiring all five hitters in his spring debut Friday, Igawa is mostly out of sight and pretty much out of mind. He is rarely mentioned in conversations about the fifth slot in the starting rotation, a competition that involves as many as five candidates.

“That’s as it should be,” General Manager Brian Cashman said of Igawa’s diminished status. “He’s got to try to reinvent himself. He hasn’t lived up to what our scouting assessments were. Maybe that’s not his fault.”

While Igawa deserves some blame for his current situation, perhaps for not adapting to American baseball in a way that would increase his likelihood of success here, I think it’s somewhat cowardly for Brian Cashman to essentially fault Igawa for his ineffectual state. His statement, that Igawa “hasn’t lived up to what our scouting assessments were,” sounds like unfair criticism. There seems to be a large gap between what Igawa actually is, and what Cashman’s glowing scouting reports pegged him to be. While I do think Cashman has been a strong GM for the Yankees, the Igawa signing was clearly a mistake on his part – probably the biggest of his career – and he should acknowledge that (an ambiguous remark like, “Maybe that’s not his fault,” is not an admission). Under Cashman’s watch, the scouting profiles the team had on Igawa were either riddled with inaccuracies or just ignorant of his Major League potential.

To be fair to Kei Igawa, that’s not his fault. He is what he is. Instead, that’s on Brian Cashman.

Photo by the Boston Globe

Mar 082010

Good Monday afternoon, everyone! How are we all today? Today, I’d like to shift our focus away from the Yankees, and get a little more broad in our view of baseball. For this post–I’ll do one for each division–I’m going to focus on the NL West and list one player on each team upon whom we should keep our eyes.

Let’s start with the defending division champs, the Dodgers. Last year, Clayton Kershaw made a jump into the mainstream baseball conscious and this year, he should jump into stardom. Last season, he led the NL in H/9 (6.3), was second in HR/9 (0.368), and was fifth in ERA (2.79) and K/9 (9.7). Clayton can bring the heat, he averaged 94 MPH on his fastball in 2009, but he did up his innings quite a bit (107.2 to 171.0) so he may be at risk for injury. However, if he stays healthy, Clayton is going to be a household name by season’s end.

Moving to the Rockey Mountains, I think we should keep our eyes on Troy Tulowitzki. Tulo’s short three year career has been up and down; he was fantastic (for a rookie) in 2007, hurt and relatively unproductive in 2008, then was dynamite again in 2009. Let’s see if Tulo can string together another good year and really hit his stride going forward.

Before moving back to the two California teams, let’s swing down to Arizona and take a peak at the Diamondbacks. On the pitching side, let’s keep our eyes on our old friend Ian Kennedy. He’s definitely got a shot to crack their rotation and could be quite successful in the not-so-strong-hitting-N.L.-West. On the offensive side, we all need to watch the Justin Upton. Justin raised his OPS+ twenty points in 2009 and is poised to become a star. Overall, he hit .300/.366/.532 with 26 homers. In 2010, Justin could easily hit 30 homers and he’ll be well on his way to super-duper stardom.

Let’s go back (back) to Cali (Cali) and stay classy in San Diego. Jake Peavy is gone, and Adrian Gonzalez is the obvious choice (seriously, watch him; dude’s awesome), so I’ll pick someone else. Offensively, there’s really slim pickings in San Diego so we’ll have to look to the pitching. I like Mat Latos to take a step forward in 2010. He’s got fantastic minor league numbers (K/9 over 10, BB/9 under 3, K/BB over 4) so he’s definitely got the stuff to build on his “meh” numbers from 2009 (80 ERA+, 6.9 K/9, 1.70 K/BB). Look out for Matt in 2010.

Wrapping up the division, let’s go up to the Bay Area. We all know Tim Lincecum. We all know Matt Cain. We all know the Panda. The guy I think will take the biggest step in 2010 is no-hitter thrower Jonathan Sanchez. In his second season as a full time starter, Sanchez improved his ERA, ERA+, WHIP, H/9, and K/9 and with a second full season under his belt, I think we’re gonna see real big things out of Jonathan in 2010.

Mar 082010

photo courtesy of the NY Daily News

Tyler Kepner of the New York Times recently caught up with former Yankee farmhand Ian Kennedy at the Diamondbacks spring training facility in Tuscon, AZ. They discussed his time with the Yanks, what went wrong, and his place on his new team. He writes:

TUCSON – Ian Kennedy’s last start in the major leagues was on Aug. 8, 2008. It was a night that colored many fans’ perception of him. He gave up five runs in two innings of a 10-5 loss in Anaheim, Calif., and when he met with reporters afterward, he insisted he had made good pitches and was not upset.

It was the wrong thing to say, causing a backlash against Kennedy, and the Yankees now use it in the media-training video they show players in spring training. It is an example of what not to do.

Kennedy talked about that night on Sunday, after his two-inning start for the Arizona Diamondbacks at Tucson Electric Park. Without being asked, Kennedy brought up the game in talking about that lost season, when he could not hold his spot in the Yankees’ rotation.

Early in the season, Kennedy explained, he had tried to do too much, and dwelled too long on bad outings, letting one bleed into the next. Before the Angels game, he had pitched very well in Class AAA. He wanted to forget the bad outing as soon as possible, and as he stewed in the clubhouse for hours, he vowed to do that.

Many fans didn’t understand at the time that part of being a good pitcher is maintaining your confidence, even after a bad outing. A bad performance doesn’t mean you’re a bad pitcher, it just means you had a bad day. Beating yourself up accomplishes nothing, and can even lead to trying too hard, which makes things worse. But the way he conveyed it, he came across as delusional about his abilities and as if he didn’t care, which clearly wasn’t the case. For PR purposes, you can’t expect the average fan to understand the inner workings of being a MLB starter, so the easiest thing to do is say “I stunk” and move on.

Kepner goes on to note that IPK is the favorite to land the 4th starter’s role for the D-Backs and has added a 2-seamer to his repertiore. He also will soon get a 2009 World Series ring for having pitched a game in September. Tyler ends with this quote from Ian-

“This is a good opportunity at a good time in my career,” Kennedy said. “It’s bittersweet, because I loved the Yankees. It was great there. But it’s really good being here, too.”

I wish Ian all the best. I will be following his starts as part of a new feature I plan on running this season called ‘Keeping up with the Ex’s’ where you’ll get regular updates on the ex-Yanks who were either traded or left as free agents this off season. IPK, Austin Jackson, Melky, Damon and Matsui will all be part of it.

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