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Jan 182010

We learned earlier today that the Yankees never made an offer to Jerry Hairston, Jr.. Obviously, it would seem that Mr. Hairston was not in the Yankees 2010 plans. So, what else could they be thinking for the 2010 bench?

The first option is rolling with a bigger bullpen and a smaller bench. That is, the Yankees could just have three bench players–a back up catcher (Frankie Cervelli), an infielder (Ramiro Pena or Kevin Russo), and an outfielder (presumably Jamie Hoffmann). That would mean a thirteen man pitching staff and a very green and probably weak hitting bench. To make a potentially medium sized discussion rather short, there’s no way this happens. There’s zero power threat off of this bench and if a regular got hurt, I don’t think the Yankees would want one of those three guys being the replacement. There’s also the pitching side to this: it’s hard enough to get innings for seven bullpen guys, let alone eight. With a thirteen man bullpen, there would always be at least one rusty pitcher.

Another choice that could present itself is the re-signing of Johnny Damon. Should Damon return, Brett Gardner gets shifted to the bench and the Yankees then have two extra outfielders–both of whom play plus defense–an infielder, and a catcher. However, this seems unlikely, considering the Yankees and Damon basically haven’t spoken in a long time. From Mike Axisa of RAB:

Olney also mentions that the Yanks have had no recent contact with Johnny Damon. Ever since the Nick Johnson signing became official, there’s been basically zero movement on the Damon front. It’s apparent the team has no interest in bringing him back unless it’s on their terms and their terms only. Will Scott Boras crack? I say no.

I definitely agree with Mike; neither side is going to budge on this and the chances of Damon returning to the Yankees seemingly grow slimmer by the day.

Option number three is one we’ve discussed ad nauseum: bringing in a platoon partner for Brett Gardner. The most popular candidates have been Reed Johnson, Xavier Nady, and recently, Rocco Baldelli. This is the most likely scenario. On the upside, it likely fits the Yankees reported budget constraints (we’ve heard they have ~$2MM to spend), it gives the Yankees someone with which to spell Brett Gardner, and it gives some pop off the bench if needed. On the downside, Johnson’s not too hot against lefties and both Nady and Baldelli carry injury concerns; Nady is coming off of his second Tommy John Surgery and Baldelli is physically unable to play more than sporadically. However, the rewards–a good righty hitter, competent fielders, and low cost–seem to outweigh those risks. This also allows the Yankees to use Jamie Hoffmann sparingly, rather than throwing him out there whenever possible. While he’s older, he’s inexperienced at the ML level and breaking him in gently could be of great benefit to the Yankees (assuming they keep him after ST).

If/when option number three comes true, I’d assume the Yankee bench would look like this:

C–F. Cervelli
IF–R. Pena OR K. Russo
OF–Jamie Hoffmann
OF–(PLATOON PARTNER HERE)

This bench gives a good combination of defense–Pena, Cervelli, and Hoffmann–and a decent option for pinch hitting or for facing tough lefties. Not only would it be very effective, it’s also the most likely scenario.

Most of iYankees’ readers believe that Reed Johnson, a career .313/.378/.463 hitter against southpaws, is the best right-handed outfield bat the Yankees can add this winter to bolster their current bench (especially with Jerry Hairston Jr. bound for San Diego). And, while I agree in that Johnson seems like the best platoon fit, unfortunately for the Yankees, Johnson’s defensive and offensive skills have attracted other suitors as well, and the Bombers may actually face some legitimate competition for the outfielder’s services.

According to two recent sources – one by Chicago Tribune writer Paul Sullivan and another by Chicago Sun-Times scribe Gordon Wittenmeyer – the Chicago Cubs are currently in search of a right-handed bat to compliment Japanese import Kosuke Fukudome, and the club could look to bring Johnson back to Wrigley in order to serve in that capacity. “Reed is in the mix,” said Chicago’s assistant GM, Randy Bush, when asked about the outfielder. “We love Reed. We’d love to have him back. We’ll see how it plays out,” Bush also stated. He did, however, note that Johnson is currently exploring his options as a free agent and is seeking a more prominent role than just right-handed caddy. “Reed’s main thing is playing time,” said Bush, adding that the 33-year old “wants to make sure he exhausts his possibilities that include significant playing time.” One wonders, however, whether or not such a “significant” role exists for the goatee-wearing free agent (maybe with the Mets as a center fielder?).

Of course, despite what the Cubs have said about wanting Johnson back, they could always seek a different right-handed bat, possibly one with a bit more power, as there are a number available (they have been linked to Jermaine Dye and, earlier today, Xavier Nady). Based on Bush’s comments, they seem to like him a lot though, so perhaps the club will try to continue that relationship. Such interest would likely create problems for the Yankees in their pursuit of a solid right-handed compliment for the young Brett Gardner. Brian Cashman would not be able to promise Johnson anymore playing time than Jim Hendry and the Cubs, so, in the end, his choice will be decided by money. If Johnson’s asking price takes even a very small step beyond $2 million – like Jerry Hairston’s recent deal – because of the interest from both Chicago and New York, perhaps the Yankees will concede defeat and look to Rocco Baldelli instead. I’m don’t think such a scenario is likely – I doubt Johnson receives a guaranteed proposal for $2 million from any club – but it is possible (he could reach that mark via incentives).

Either way, the Yankees have other options available to them. As Pete Caldera points out, Johnson is likely the most realistic and attractive target for the Yankees with regards to right-handed outfielders, but, if the Cubs ultimately muddy those waters, Baldelli, Jonny Gomes, Marcus Thames, and a number of others await.

Photo by Lisa Blumenfield/Getty Images

Here are a few quick outfield-related items on the day:

  • Scott Boras says that his client, Xavier Nady, will be ready for spring training.
  • In the same FOX Sports article, we learn that the Cubs are interested in Nady.
  • Mark Bowman thinks that the Braves may also have an interest in signing Nady.
  • Mark Topkin writes that the Yankees and the Cubs are both in on Rocco Baldelli.

I still believe most of the clubs in search of outfield help, including the Yankees, are waiting for Johnny Damon to sign. Then, once he is officially off the market, the lower-level players like Nady and Baldelli will finally find a home.

Photo by J. Meric/Getty Images

From Buster Olney:

Two things: No. 1, the NYY never made an offer to Jerry Hairston, and No. 2, there has been no recent contact between NYY and Johnny Damon.

The tidbit about Damon is to be expected, in that I doubt that the Yankees would be negotiating with Damon even if they actually wanted him back. They would be more likely to let Damon sit and fret upon the open market until he crawls back to them at a significantly reduced rate. Regarding Hairston, the Yankees lack of interest in him makes perfect sense. With players such as Ramiro Pena, Eduardo Nunez, and Kevin Russo in the system, the Yankees are equipped to handle their utility role internally, at the league minimum. While Hairston is likely to be better than any of those players in 2010, the difference is minimal, such that saving funds for other areas or for an in-season move makes plenty of sense.


With the offseason slowly drawing to a close, it looks like the Yankees were in fact serious about maintaining a modicum of fiscal responsibility. However, some have suggested that Brian Chasman is just saving his bullets for next offseason, when there is a class of free agents that Cashman has previously professed admiration for. Dayn Perry runs through the big names, and I would like to highlight the players I think the Yankees would have interest in:

1. Joe Mauer, C
Opening Day 2011 Age: 28

2. Cliff Lee, LHS
Opening Day 2011 Age: 32

3. Brandon Webb, RHS
Opening Day 2011 Age: 32

4. Derek Jeter, SS
Opening Day 2011 Age: 37

These four players make up the top tier of talent, and at least one of them (Jeter) is almost certain to be in pinstripes in 2011. I strongly believe Mauer will sign in Minnesota, as their new ballpark and Mauer’s hometown roots makes this a perfect marriage. Regarding Webb, his recent shoulder injuries make him a significant risk. Although he will likely be cheaper than Lee and his groundball ways make him a solid fit for Yankee Stadium, I would stay away from him. Lee is the better option, and I think that the Yankees will be all-in on Cliff to take the rotation spot vacated by either Andy Pettitte or Javy Vazquez. I could see the Yankees offering Lee 5 years at 19 million per year. Jeter will likely get a similar salary for a reduced number of years. 4 years and 75-80 million will get it done.

5. Carl Crawford, OF
Opening Day 2011 Age: 29

6. Jayson Werth, OF
Opening Day 2011 Age: 32

8. Josh Beckett, RHS
Opening Day 2011 Age: 31

Beckett is good, but let’s be objective: He’s not an ace on most staffs. Beckett’s career ERA of 3.79 is solid enough, but just three times in his career has he managed at least 200 innings in a season. It’s also worth noting that since Beckett arrived in Boston and supposedly achieved “ace-dom,” his ERA is 4.05. That’s a tick or two better than the league average, but the numbers simply don’t rise to the level of Beckett’s reputation. That said, if you’re looking for a No. 2 man, then Beckett is a reasonable choice. Just be sure pay him like a No. 2 man. Lee and a healthy Webb are both significantly better.

10. Adam Dunn, OF/DH
Opening Day 2011 Age: 31

This next tier includes a number of players who might be good fits in NY but have certain flaws that make their acquisition entirely dependent on the market. Dunn would be a bargain on a deal similar to the one he signed with Washington, as he would fit perfectly in Yankees Stadium and 2 years, 20 million would likely be less than his actual value. Similarly, Carl Crawford and Jayson Werth are both versatile players who add a lot both offensively and defensively. However, I would not touch either player if they required a deal more than 4 years, and even then the AAV should not exceed 14M a year. I hate Beckett, and added Perry’s note on him because it illustrates my contention that Josh is slightly overrated. That said, if the market for him bottoms out due to injury concerns and outsized demands, expect Brian Cashman to kick the tires on him.

11. Mariano Rivera

12. Manny Ramirez

13. Huston Street

15. Javier Vazquez

16. Rafael Soriano

If Javy Vazquez has a very strong year, I could see the Yankees attempting to sign the workhorse to a long term deal. However, if he is just solid, he will likely get a 3 year deal worth somewhere in the neighborhood of 40 million, a price the Yankees should shy away from. I could see the Yankees entering the 2011 season with Sabathia, Burnett, Hughes, Chamberlain, and either Andy Pettitte or a free agent like Cliff Lee in the rotation. Regarding the bullpen, if Mariano continues to act like a vampire, the Yankees will have to shell out some dough to sign him to a 1 or 2 year deal, depending on his preference. No matter what happens with Mo, I could see the Yankees being in the market for a top reliever, so as to allow both Joba and Hughes to start. If so, Street and Soriano would both be good fits. Finally, I have long advocated bringing in Manny, but unless he is asking for a 1 year deal for 10 million or less, I cannot see Cash biting.

Photo Credit: ESPN.com


Last season, we saw a number of players linger on the free agent market due to their status as a Type A free agent. While superstars and younger players were not drastically affected, older players and those who fill niche roles saw their value plummet far below what they may have been paid if there were no compensation system in place. Teams were loathe to give up draft picks to have a player like Juan Cruz or Orlando Hudson for a short term fix.

This season, none of the Type A free agents met with a similar fate. As MLBTR outlines, some players have taken matters into their own hands:

This year, however, those who declined arbitration don’t have reason to regret their decisions. All the Type A free agents below had multiple suitors and all but Billy Wagner signed multi-year deals. This doesn’t mean teams are willing to hand over top picks. Instead it’s likely an indication that agents are only letting Type As decline arbitration offers if the players are sure to attract lots of interest on the market.

But players aren’t necessarily handcuffed by the Elias rankings. Some, like Justin Duchscherer and Orlando Cabrera, have negotiated clauses into their contracts that forbid their teams from offering arbitration if they’re designated Type A free agents.

I think that we are very likely to see agents be significantly more cognizant of this process than they were in the past, and probably be more conservative when it comes to rejecting arbitration. Under the old economic regime of the mid-2000′s, a player like Bobby Abreu likely could have scored a 3 year deal following the 2008 season. However, a new system seems to have developed, whereby star players are the only ones getting deals that exceed 2 years, and aging veterans are hard pressed to extract even a 2 year deal from any club.

As such, I think it will become exceedingly common for older players to accept arbitration, for fear of replicating Hudson’s post-2008. Others will negotiate clauses such as the one Orlando Cabrera received, so as to bypass the entire process and ensure that they are able to maximize their value in free agency. Of course, once players show that they have adjusted to the new reality, clubs will stop offering said players arbitration, and they will enter free agency untethered by draft pick restraints. This will undermine the draft pick compensation system entirely, and encourage small market clubs to trade their stars earlier to get some sort of return on them. I am not sure what might happen at that point, but this system is an issue that is certain to come up in the upcoming CBA negotiations.

Jan 182010

(h/t Amazin Avenue)

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