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Sign Soriano

Posted by Chris H. at 3:30 pm 21 Responses »
Nov 242009

Despite Brian Cashman’s recent admission, that the bullpen is not an “area of obvious need,” today Buster Olney (ESPN) writes that the Yankees “No. 1 area of focus, beyond the Damon/Matsui realm: their bullpen. They will look for two relievers, in all likelihood.” This is a strange comment, as the team’s second real need “beyond the Damon/Matsui realm” seems to be fleshing out their rotation (Cashman said as much yesterday), but Olney’s assertion certainly make sense when you consider the relief realities that the Yankees will ultimately have to account for next season.

First, if we are to believe that the Yankees will use him as a starter in 2010, then the team will feature a bullpen absent an effective Phil Hughes (he was worth 2.2 WAR as a reliever). Plus, outside of Mariano Rivera, David Robertson, and a healthy Damaso Marte, you’re not really sure what to expect of Phil Coke, Alfredo Aceves and, dare I say, Brian Bruney next season. Furthermore, having some effective depth, and specifically effective veteran depth (which was sorely missed in the postseason), in the bullpen will allow the Yankees to employ Joba Chamberlain and Phil Hughes as starters, rather than relievers (for the entire season). For these reasons, I do think that the Yankees will and should look to bolster their bullpen, however, adding two relievers, as Olney suggests, probably won’t occur as even one deal can be a risky proposition (e.g., Farnsworth, Hawkins, etc.). Still, adding just one reliever can work if it’s the right guy.

This winter, I believe Rafael Soriano is the right guy.

After having two surgical procedures conducted on his right elbow last summer—ulnar ligament transposition and bone spur removal—the hard-throwing righty missed most of the 2008 season and failed to build on a strong ’07 campaign. However, in 2009, Soriano returned with a vengeance, as he split time closing games for Atlanta with Mike Gonzalez earlier in the year, and then ran away with the closer role later in the season. Thanks to a ferocious mid-90′s fastball and a sharp slider, he posted a 2.97 ERA (2.54 FIP) over 75 2/3 innings pitched, saving 27 games while striking out 102 hitters (that’s a K/9 of 12.13). Basically, when he’s healthy, Soriano is one of the best relievers in baseball and, as Keith Law (ESPN) noted, he is currently “the best reliever on the market, and better than any of the closers available on last winter’s market, including the vaunted K-Rod.” The only real knocks on Soriano are his health history—not only did he have elbow surgery last year, he also had Tommy John surgery in 2004, causing him to miss ’04-05—and his price tag, after establishing himself as a closer with the Braves. It is important to note, though, that the 29-year old has been healthy for 3 of the last 4 years, and he has not explicitly stated that he hopes to continue closing in 2010.

If the Yankees were to sign anyone to help the team’s relief corps, it seems as though Soriano would be an extremely good fit given his dominant skill set. He’s a young, powerful arm, capable of pitching in high leverage situations, and could serve as the bridge to Mariano Rivera. By adding an effective reliever of Soriano’s ilk, the New York bullpen would be deepened to the point where utilizing Joba Chamberlain or Phil Hughes for relief outs would become a thing of the past. If Buster Olney is correct and the Yankees intend on looking for “two relievers” this winter, they might as well put all of their multimillion dollar eggs into one particularly talented basket and sign the best reliever available.

Photo by Kevin Cox/Getty Images

Jesus Montero has been labelled untouchable by Yankees fans, and he is probably as untouchable as a prospect can be. However, as we have noted on various occasions in this space, no prospect is truly untouchable, as there are almost certainly deals that I would put Montero into. So the task for today is to list the players that you would certainly trade Jesus for, ignoring the fact that the Yankees may be hard pressed to put together a package for many of them. Here is my list:

Evan Longoria
Justin Verlander
Zack Greinke
Joe Mauer
Felix Hernandez
Hanley Ramirez
Albert Pujols
Tim Lincecum
Matt Wieters
Jason Heyward

Who would be on your list? Disagree with any of my picks?

Courtesy of Mark Feinsand comes a few tidbits from Brian Cashman:

Despite the published reports linking the Yankees to Mike Gonzalez and Rafael Soriano, the bullpen isn’t the primary focus for Cashman. With plenty of young arms to go along with Mariano Rivera, Damaso Marte and Brian Bruney, the Yankees are well-stocked, so they don’t have to go out and spend big on another setup man like they did earlier this decade with Steve Karsay, Tom Gordon and Kyle Farnsworth.

“We have guys knocking on the door from the minor leagues, and it’s always easy to take a starter and make him into a reliever – I think we’re good at that,” Cashman joked. “Is it an area of obvious need? No. You’ve got to look more at the rotation and left field.”

This was discussed at length in Steve’s post yesterday, and I think Cash is taking the right approach to building a bullpen. Relievers are incredibly volatile, and sinking money into them seems like a silly move when your minor league system contains plenty of bullpen options. Cashman did not rule it out, but he was more forthcoming than he typically is about his plans, suggesting that he may not be incredibly interested in bringing in a reliever unless the cost is incredibly low.

It sounds like CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett are the only starters with a firm grasp on spots in the rotation right now. Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain and a host of other internal candidates exist to fill the No. 4 and 5 spots (I’m assuming that Pettitte or a big free agent such as John Lackey would be the No. 3), but unlike two years ago, the Yankees seem intent on having an open competition for those slots next spring. “Right now, if you look at our starters, you’d probably say we have two starters for sure and then a mix of some other guys,” Girardi said. “That’s probably the first thing we need to figure out.”

I think the Yankees plan on having Hughes and Chamberlain start the year in the rotation, but are trying to keep both pitchers motivated to work on their craft over the offseason. Some have suggested that Joba in particular had too much success too fast, and that the Yankees should make him earn his spot. It seems that they are at least paying lip service to that idea.

Cashman knows how lucky the Yankees were to remain relatively healthy with their aging team this season, but unless he feels that he can improve the team with younger players he isn’t going to bring in young players for the sole reason of reducing the average age.

“You always want to be younger, but only if it’s with the idea of getting better,” Cashman said. “Getting younger just for younger sake doesn’t mean you’ll get better. You have to pick the right guys to get younger with.”

Pundits talk about getting younger all the time, but sometimes it is easier said than done. Furthermore, sometimes getting younger does not mean going out and signing a 30 year free agent to replace a 37 year old player. Often, the smart move in a youth movement is signing veteran players like Johnny Damon and Mike Cameron to short term deals to hold spots while you search for the right young guys. Cashman clearly understands this concept, and I would not be surprised to see the Yankees bring in a number of older players on short term deals this offseason.

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