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Alfredo Aceves Rebounds

Alfredo Aceves was a real standout in the Mexican League, and took less than a full season in the minors to make the big leagues. It isn’t all that uncommon for an experienced pitcher to rocket through several layers of the minor leagues in a small period of time. It is also not all that uncommon for minor league pitchers to remain locked in all year, but revert back to form the following year. Sometimes players like Aceves are in independent leagues because they just weren’t lucky enough to be discovered by the right major league scouts, but sometimes they play there because they just weren’t consistently good enough to play with the big guys.

Aceves started the season by allowing 10 runs in 9 innings. He responsed this week by throwing 14 2/3 innings of shutout baseball in two starts. He has also maintained his trademark control, walking just 5 batters in 23 2/3 innings on the year. Aceves doesn’t have overpowering stuff or one real out pitch, so he needs to remain ahead in the count with few people on base in order to function.

Its worth remembering that Aceves is the next starting pitcher on our depth chart, especially now that Ian Kennedy is out with a mysterious finger injury. We are one injury or double header away from relying upon his arm to get us into the playoffs. As far as 7th starters go, he’s a pretty solid pick. I would also look for Aceves to be showcased as trade bait in the coming months.

Josh Schmidt May Be A Bullpen Sleeper

Side armer Josh Schmidt hasn’t done a whole lot since he dominated the New York-Penn League shortly after being drafted. He spent three seasons in Tampa, and failed to overcome his poor control despite striking out 207 batters during that time.

Schmidt throws a 91 mph fastball and a frisbee slider. Lefties hit him a hundred points better than righties, as can be expected from a side armer. His control is poor, but good enough against right handed batters.

Schmidt has been pretty much unhittable for Trenton this season. He has scattered just one hit and two walks in 9 innings with 12 strikeouts. All of the baserunners have come against left-handed hitters. If the Yankee bullpen continues to look terrible, he may be a sleeper for the 25th spot on the roster. Pair him with LOOGY and he could be valuable. While Schmidt has only a little more than half of a season of Double-A experience, the 25 year-old college graduate is experienced enough that he could make the jump to fill some of Scranton’s vacant pitching spots.

Selena Roberts may have been a columnist for the NY Times and ostensibly only writing her “opinion” about the Duke lacrosse team but being a columnist doesn’t excuse you from having to get your facts right. In 2006, as the story broke, she wrote, “But why is it so hard to gather the facts? Why is any whisper of a detail akin to snitching?” She was wrong about that. There WAS no coverup, no difficulty in gathering the facts. The problem was that there was a corrupt prosecutor (since jailed) named Mike Nifong that twisted the facts to try to make a name for himself. She then went on a concentrated tirade aimed at smearing the players, who she named personally and their families, their upbringing, their school,and their entire culture.

So she screwed up. It happens, right? Did she apologize to the players and their families? No, in fact, she continues to smear Duke and the team to this day. I don’t know about you, but I have a profound distrust for anyone who ignores the facts that conflict with their own agenda and stubbornly continue to push that agenda regardless of the actuality of the situation.

I found this post, here, particularly enlightening.  It is by a Brooklyn College History professor, on his blog, which has won ethics awards from the American Bar Association Journal.  It’s a great read and it clearly documents the journalistic quicksand that Selena Roberts tends to tread in.  Among her transgressions: she referred to incorrect information in the search warrants as being information from “court documents”.  “This statement drew a rebuke from even the Times’ milquetoast then-public editor, Byron Calame, who noted that journalists do not consider search warrants to be “court documents.”  She also claimed that no players came forward to give an eyewitness account, but that was patently false.  Several officials from the Times have henceforth offered public apologies, yet Roberts offers none and even continues to accuse the players of misogyny and race-baiting.

Supposing I hear some rumblings about you being a child molester and I jump on it and write a column about how horrible you are, and how your horrible parents and your horrible peers and the corrupt people at your job or school all contributed to what an awful excuse for a human being you are, and covered up for your heinous crimes. Suppose it turns out that some overzealous prosecutor fabricated the charges and victimized you without grounds. Should I apologize, or should I simply say, “well, maybe those charges were found to be without merit, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that you’re not a child molester, and the police found legal non-kiddy porn on your computer, so you’re still a pervert, and one of your classmates in college said you told a racist joke once, and I’m still sticking by the allegations that the culture that produced you is corrupt and vile, and I’m not apologizing for anything, despite all the people and families that I unjustly smeared.

Would that be fair and honest journalism? Because, from what I’ve been able to tell of the case, that’s exactly what she’s done (please correct me if I have anything wrong). Just because she was a columnist, doesn’t alleviate her from all journalistic ethics, does it?  How does she even still have a job?  She was right about A-Rod’s steroid test, yes, but at least A-Rod admitted it when HE got caught.  Did Selena?

Normally, a rehabbing player going 1 for 6 in an intrasquad game would not be news, or even remotely interesting.  However, with the craptastic production that the Yankees have been getting from the 3rd base position (batting average south of .200, no home runs, mediocre defense), the Yankees need Alex Rodriguez back as soon as possible (Selena Roberts-induced drama and all).  Peter Abraham reported the results of A-Rod’s intrasquad game, saying that Alex was not running at full speed in the game, and also walked twice.

It is pointless to extrapolate anything from an intrasquad game in which A-Rod was hitting against the likes of Matt Richardson and Jose Ramirez, but it is encouraging to see that he is working his way back.  They have performed fairly well up to this point given the loss of A-Rod, Bruney, and Wang to injury, but ultimately, the Yankees need their big slugger back in the worst way.  His presence lengthens the lineup, replacing an automatic out at the bottom of the lineup with a 3-time MVP.

Nobody could agree more than Mark Teixeira, whose .197/.365/.364 line is blowing nobody away.  The high OBP sticks out as evidence that opposing pitchers are pitching around Tex, and this could change when A-Rod returns to the lineup.  Tex’s struggles may have to do with trying too hard, but hopefully, the return of an effective A-Rod could take some of the pressure off the Yankee first baseman.  To be honest, I’m surprised the media hasn’t made more of his struggles already.  I guess they’re too busy deciding that Joba needs to go back to the ‘pen (seriously, when will they learn?).

Apr 302009

Tonight’s game against the Angels marks the return of Bobby Abreu to the Bronx, as he makes his first appearance in NY since the final home game against the O’s last September. Most Yankees fans that I speak to do not seem to have strong feelings about Bobby in either direction. They weren’t happy to see him go, but they were not devastated by his loss either. Personally, I liked him and hope that he gets a nice reception this evening.

The Yankees replaced Bobby with Nick Swisher, a move that looks great right now, while Bobby took the bargain basement deal of the year to sign with Anaheim. Abreu has started the season off well (courtesy of ESPN):

Bobby Abreu’s move to the Angels seems to agree with him. At 35, he already has eight stolen bases in as many attempts, the most he’s had during any April of his career. He’s also creating havoc at the plate with his .375 batting average, and leads the Angels with 27 hits. Abreu hit .289 over the past two years, and all his improvement this season has been on early counts……He hasn’t hit the ball harder on early counts, just more often. Abreu has finished 41 percent of plate appearances on early counts this season compared to 24 percent last year. Consequently, his strikeouts have dropped from 18 percent to 15 percent of plate appearances even though his strikeout rate is slightly higher once he reaches two strikes. With fewer than two outs, Abreu has seen an average of 2.9 pitches per plate appearance compared to 4.3 during the past two years.

With Bobby mashing and the Yankees hurting for outfield depth, would it have made sense for the Yankees to retain Abreu as a member of the outfield mix? I do not think so. He likely would have relegated Swisher and Nady to the bench, with those players only getting time in some sort of rotation at LF, RF, and DH. Furthermore, however well Abreu does with the stick, his glove has reached epically bad levels. Abreu had a solid offensive season last year, yet was worth just 5.6 million dollars (against a 16M dollar salary) due to his incredibly weak fielding (-25.3 UZR/150). It was time to let Bobby go and get a bit younger in the outfield.

Apr 302009

From George King:

Considering Mariano Rivera has given up three, three, three, two, three, four and four homers in the past three seasons, the sight of him surrendering dingers in two straight appearances was unnerving.

While it certainly was a bit unnerving, it is important to note that we go through this every season. Mo strings together a few bad outings and suddenly everyone begins to question whether he is hurt or if age is catching up with him (see BBTN last evening). Then he gets into a groove, and everyone feels silly for doubting him. Prior to the Boston game, Mo had pitched 7 innings and given up no runs on just 6 singles and no walks while striking out 8. It is just two bad games, nothing more. Mariano is fine.

Joba Chamberlain answered Phil Hughes’ gem with a virtuoso performance of his own, going 7 innings and allowing just one run on 3 hits and 3 walks while striking out 6. His last four innings in particular looked a lot like what we had come to expect from Joba in the past. There were two really important developments that were evident in this performance.

1) The curveball that Joba threw to strike out Miguel Cabrera with the bases full and two outs in the third should preclude any further talk of sending him to the bullpen. When you have a pitcher whose third-best pitch can strike out one of the best hitters in baseball in a high pressure spot, you do not relegate him to pitching one inning at a time. You put him in the rotation and wait for him to become an ace. Joba has three above average major league pitches and a changeup that is getting to that point. If he stays healthy, he is going to be an ace.

2) Joba’s velocity was back up, as he raised his average fastball speed about half a MPH to 92.76 and hit 96 a few times. he also seemed to loosen up as the game proceeded, throwing harder and looking looser after the Cabrera at-bat. It seems that the brouhaha over his mechanics and velocity may have just been irrational panic over a young pitcher just building arm strength at the start of a season. We have never seen Joba as a starter to begin a season, and he just may be a pitcher who takes a few starts to build velocity.

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For all of the shocking, mind blowing details, click here.

Apr 302009

Scranton defeats Lehigh Valley, 7-0

  • Alfredo Aceves got the start, and the Mexican Gangster was just that, giving up just 3 hits and a walk in 8 scoreless, and striking out 6.
  • Steven Jackson, recently demoted from the bigs, gave up 2 hits in a scoreless inning of work.
  • Shelley Duncan was 1 for 3 with his 7th homer of the year and a walk.  He’s hitting .370 on the year, and a little part of me keeps wondering if he could hit major league pitching if given enough play time.
  • Juan Miranda was 1 for 4.
  • Austin Jackson was 1 for 3 with a walk, and is hitting .356.
  • Eric Duncan, at 3rd again, was 2 for 4, raising his average to .313 on the season.

Trenton falls to Connecticut, 3-2

  • Zach McAllister struggled a little by his standards, giving up 3 runs (2 earned on 5 hits and an uncharacteristic 4 walks in 4 innings, while striking out 5.  According to Mike Ashmore, McAllister was not pulled after 4 innings because he was hurt, but rather, because he was “ineffective and inefficient.”
  • Reegie Corona was 1 for 3 with a walk.
  • Marcos Vechionacci was 2 for 4.
  • Colin Curtis and Jorge Vazquez were each 0 for 4.

Tampa blanked by Lakeland, 5-0

  • Lance Pendleton was decent as the starter, giving up 3 runs (2 earned) on 6 hits and 2 walks, and struck out 3.
  • Jesus Montero, Brandon Laird, and Damon Sublett were each 0 for 4.  Montero also made a throwing error, and allowed 4 of 5 runners to steal successfully off of him.  He’s still OPS’ing .981, so all is well.
  • Austin Romine was 1 for 4, and is hitting .275 on the year.

Charleston loses in a slugfest, 12-10

  • Brett Marshall had the worst start of his young career, giving up 8 runs (only 4 earned) on 6 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings, and only struck out one.
  • Ray Kruml was 4 for 5 with a double.
  • Taylor Grote was 1 for 3 with 2 walks.
  • David Adams was 2 for 5 with 2 doubles and a steal.  He may be heating up, as he has multiple hits in 4 of the last 6 games.
  • Abe Almonte was 0 for 5.
  • Melky Mesa was 2 for 5 with his 5th homer of the year.
  • Garrison Lassiter was 0 for 4.
  • Chase Weems was 2 for 3 with 2 doubles, a walk, an error, and 2 passed balls.
  • Carmen Angelini had the night off, but I’m sure he made an error from the bench.

Darren Rovell from CNBC has a new column up, refuting a recent AP report about Baseball attendance being down. His points about comparing apples to apples (or in this case Aprils to Aprils) and reduced capacity at Citifield are good ones, and I don’t really take issue with anything he wrote.

What I found most interesting that could have implications for the Yankees was this:

Steepest Attendance Declines
TEAM % CHANGE
Washington Nationals Down 30.4%
Detroit Tigers Down 28.2%
New York Mets Down 23.4%*
Toronto Blue Jays Down 23.4%
Atlanta Braves Down 18.9%

*New stadium, % capacity is actually up

To paraphrase the head of GM, sales drops that big are “unsustainable for any business”.  You can’t lose a quarter of your revenues and not be forced into making dramatic cost cutting moves. Of the teams that are on the list, the Blue Jays and Tigers are the most interesting. Unless they find themselves in a heated pennant race that draws fans interest, expect both to be sellers at the mid season trade deadline. Roy Halladay and Magglio Ordonez would provide the most return and salary relief in both cases. Atlanta could be sellers as well, with Tim Hudson as a likely candidate.

RHP Joba Chamberlain (0-0, 3.94)
RHP Rick Porcello (1-2, 3.75)
Notable: Posada back at catcher,
Matsui stays at cleanup,
Melky in over Gardner again

Reservation Road release

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